Welcome to my webpage!
I am Michele Mancini, Deputy Head of the Emerging Markets and World Trade Division at the Bank of Italy.
My research interests are international trade and global value chains.
Google Scholar – My IDEAS – VoxEU profile – CV
Contact me: michele.mancini (at) bancaditalia.it
NEWS
I have coordinated, along with Maria Grazia Attinasi (ECB), the ESCB Report on Geopolitical Trade Fragmentation.
The report is forthcoming, but some background papers are already available.
Check them out!
- Inputs in Distress: Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Firms’ Sourcing, 2024, Occasional Papers, no. 861, Bank of Italy. with Lebastard, Panon, Borin, Caka, Cariola, Essers, Gentili, Linarello, Padellini, Requena and Timini [link] [ECB Blog] [VoxEU, based on Italian data only] Submitted
- Trade Fragmentation Unveiled: Five Facts on the Reconfiguration of Global, US, and EU trade, with Conteduca, Giglioli, Giordano, Panon, Occasional Papers, no. 881, Bank of Italy [link] Resubmitted
- European firms facing geopolitical risk: Evidence from recent Eurosystem surveys, 2024, with Balteanu, Bottone, Fernandez-Cerezo, Ioannou, Kutten, Morris, [VoxEU]
WORKING PAPERS
- Economic Consequences of Trade and Global Value Chain Integration : A Measurement Perspective, with A. Borin and D. Taglioni, 2021, World Bank Policy Research WP, 9785. [VoxEU column] [
link] [
slides], R&R. - Sourcing governance and De-risking Strategies in Europe: a comparative study of Germany, Italy, and Spain, 2024, with Bottone, M., Boffelli, A., Pegoraro, D., Kutten, A., Balteanu, I., & Quintana, J. [WP version], R&R.
DATA and tools
- Global Value Chains and Value-Added Trade Analysis in Stata: icio.
icio is a user-friendly Stata tool to compute measures of GVC participation and trade in value-added. Check it out here. Based on Belotti, Borin, Mancini, 2021, Stata Journal, 21(3) [slides].
- World Bank WITS Global Value Chains Database.
A comprehensive database of up-to-date GVC participation measures.
Overview – Visualizations – Bulk download
based on Borin, Mancini, Taglioni, 2021, World Bank WP [link].
- Positioning in Global Value Chains: World Map and Indicators.
A comprehensive database of up-to-date positioning measures in GVC.
Check it out here. Based on Mancini et al., 2024, World Bank Economic Review.
PUBLICATIONS IN PEER-REVIEWED JOURNALS
- Trade and Economic Activity: Non-Linear Modelling and Forecasting
Journal of Forecasting, 2024, with A. Borin and A. Gazzani, forthcoming. - Positioning in Global Value Chains: World Map and Indicators. A new dataset available for GVC analyses [data]
World Bank Economic Review, 2024, with P. Montalbano, S. Nenci, D. Vurchio. - The real-time impact of the war on Russian imports: a synthetic control method approach. [WP]
World Trade Review, 2024, with A. Borin, F. P. Conteduca. - Sub-Saharan Africa’s Participation in Global Value Chains: 1995-2021.
The World Economy, 2023. with A. Mattoo, D. Taglioni, D. Winkler. - Trade Decoupling from Russia.
International Economics, 2023, vol. 175. with A. Borin, F. P. Conteduca, E. Di Stefano, V. Gunnella, L. Panon [WP] - Measuring what matters in value-added trade.
Economic Systems Research, 2023. with A. Borin [WP] - Reshoring and plant closures in Covid-19 times: Evidence from Italian MNEs.
International Economics, 2022, vol. 172. with E. Di Stefano, G. Giovannetti, E. Marvasi and G. Vannelli. - icio – Economic Analysis with Inter-Country Input-Output tables.
Stata Journal, 2021, 21(3). with F. Belotti and A. Borin. [slides] - EU transfers and Euroscepticism: can’t buy me love?
Economic Policy, 2021, vol. 36, with A. Borin and E. Macchi. - FDI and firm performance: an empirical analysis on Italian firms.
Review of World Economics, 2016, 152(4), with A. Borin.
Michele Mancini economist global value chains international trade
Michele Mancini economist global value chains international trade icio